William Craig's Case for the Resurrection of Jesus - Part 22: The Either/Or Fallacy and Imagination

WHERE WE ARE

In Part 21 of this series, I argued that the cases for the resurrection of Jesus made by Peter Kreeft, Josh McDowell, and William Craig are all Dead On Arrival because all three of these Christian apologists present cases that are based on a false dilemma, and thus their cases commit the Either/Or Fallacy.

Why is this so? For one thing, this is a very common fallacy, which indicates that it is a natural temptation to simplify our options to just two or three.  Many of us feel a bit uneasy when we walk through the cereal section of a supermarket and are confronted with two dozen different kinds of cereal to buy.  We feel more comfortable when there are just a handful of options to choose from.

A LACK OF IMAGINATION?

I think another problem contributing to the illogical thinking of these three Christian apologists is that they fail to exercise their imaginations when thinking about this issue.  People often accept a false dilemma because they fail to make a serious effort to think about the question, "What are ALL of the relevant options in this case?" 

With just a little bit of effort, just a little bit of imagination, one can come up with many alternatives to the following false dilemma:

EITHER there is a natural hypothesis that provides a plausible explanation of the empty tomb, OR the Resurrection Hypothesis is correct.

One might well accuse Kreeft, McDowell, and Craig of having no imagination.  However, I suspect that the problem is a bit more complicated than just a lack of imagination.  

Philosophy and law both require one to think critically and to reason logically, and in order to do so, one MUST exercise some imagination. Philosophers and law students (Kreeft and Craig are philosophers, and McDowell studied law) need to be able to think of counterexamples to broad generalizations (e.g., All Xs are Ys), and to think of counterexamples to false dilemmas (e.g., EITHER P is the case OR Q is the case).  Without imagination, Kreeft and Craig would not have been able to be successful in philosophy and logic, and McDowell would not have been able to be successful in studying law.

However, the cognitive bias that was a serious problem with Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus, namely confirmation bias, could explain why Kreeft, McDowell, and Craig failed to exercise their imaginations when considering the above false dilemma. 

Confirmation bias impacts various intellectual abilities and processes.  It impacts our focus or attention.  When one has a firm belief that P is the case, one will tend to search for facts or evidence that supports this belief, and when evidence supporting P presents itself, one will tend to notice that evidence.  And when evidence against P presents itself, one will tend to ignore that evidence. Also, even if one does notice disconfirming evidence, confirmation bias also impacts one's thinking in terms of memory.  We tend to remember evidence that confirms our beliefs, and we tend to forget evidence that disconfirms our beliefs.

Confirmation bias impacts what we are searching for, what we notice, and what we remember. So, I suspect that it also impacts when we exercise our imaginations.  If using your imagination might put a cherished belief at risk of being disconfirmed, then you will be less likely to use your imagination, but if using your imagination seems like it could help to confirm a cherished belief, then you are likely to use your imagination.

I don't think the problem is that Kreeft, McDowell, or Craig lack imagination.  I suspect that all three of these Christian apologists do have good imaginations and do use their imaginations, but that they tend to avoid using their imaginations when this carries the risk of disconfirming one of their basic Christian beliefs.

USING ONE'S IMAGINATION TO THINK UP MORE NATURAL AND SUPERNATURAL HYPOTHESES

It is not in the interest of Christian apologists to think up more natural hypotheses or more supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate.  That is to say, they have no desire to come up with a new hypothesis that might provide a better explanation of the relevant facts than the Resurrection Hypothesis, which they firmly believe and want to promote. Confirmation bias influences them to avoid using their imaginations for the purpose of constructing more hypotheses that would compete with the hypothesis that they believe and cherish.

GENERATING SUPERNATURAL HYPOTHESES THAT PARALLEL NATURAL HYPOTHESES

Anything you can do, God can do better.  Anything that nature can do, God can do better.  So, most natural hypotheses can be modified in order to generate a similar supernatural theory.  

The most obvious example of this way of generating more hypotheses occurs with the Hallucination Hypothesis. This is a naturalistic hypothesis that explains the alleged appearances of the risen Jesus to his disciples as being hallucinations, malfunctions of their brains that produced experiences that made it seem like a living Jesus was present, when in reality, Jesus was not present.  

There is a supernatural hypothesis that is similar to this naturalistic one: the Vision Hypothesis.  This is the supernatural hypothesis that God intentionally caused Jesus' disciples to experience visions of a living Jesus, in order to communicate the message that Jesus was alive again, after he had died on the cross. 

God intervening in the lives and experiences of Jesus' disciples clearly makes this a supernatural hypothesis, but it is similar to the Hallucination Hypothesis, in that Jesus is not physically present during these experiences of the disciples, according to both the naturalistic explanation called the Hallucination Hypothesis and the supernatural explanation called the Vision Hypothesis.

Let's consider some other naturalistic hypotheses.  Craig considered and evaluated the Displaced Body Hypothesis in Reasonable Faith.[1] This is a naturalistic hypothesis that claims Joseph of Arimathea moved Jesus' body to a different location after the initial burial of Jesus in a stone tomb, and before the women came to visit the stone tomb on Sunday morning. 

Anything Joseph can do, God can do too.  So, one supernatural hypothesis is that God moved the body of Jesus to another tomb, perhaps instantly teleporting Jesus' dead body to a different tomb. This is similar to the naturalistic hypothesis that Craig evaluated, but it involves God intervening in human affairs, so that the moving of Jesus' body was done by a supernatural being using supernatural powers.

Craig also considers and evaluates the Apparent Death Hypothesis.  This is a naturalistic hypothesis that claims that Jesus only appeared to die on the cross, but had merely fainted, so that Jesus was actually still alive when he was removed from the cross.  This could have been merely a lucky break for Jesus.  However, if God was involved, God could have made sure that this fortunate outcome took place.

God could have performed healing miracles on Jesus' body to keep him alive despite the various injuries and wounds inflicted upon him.  God could have instantly healed the wounds from a severe scourging.  God could have instantly healed wounds in Jesus' scalp from the crown of thorns.  God could have made the nails in Jesus' hands and feet vanish into nothingness and instantly healed the wounds created by the nails. Jesus could have survived his crucifixion because of divine intervention.

Another possibility is that God could have let Jesus suffer from his wounds and injuries, but miraculously prevented Jesus from dying on the cross.  For example, if Jesus underwent clinical death (cessation of breathing and heartbeat) on the cross, God could have caused Jesus to be resuscitated before Jesus reached the point of brain death. God could have instantly created new blood in Jesus' veins (like a blood infusion), and God could have caused Jesus' chest to repeatedly compress every few seconds (as if someone were performing CPR on Jesus), causing Jesus' breathing and heartbeat to resume.

Furthermore, the Apparent Death Hypothesis focuses on the idea that Jesus appeared to die on the cross, but did not actually die on the cross.  There are different natural ways that this could have occurred.  But God also could have intervened to ensure that Jesus appeared to die while actually remaining alive.  

Recall that, according to the Gospel of Luke, when the risen Jesus appeared to some of his followers on the Emmaus road (Luke 24: 13-32), they didn't recognize Jesus.  Somehow, God made Jesus appear to be somebody else, so that these followers would not recognize who they were talking to.  But since God can alter the way Jesus appears to others, God could have performed a miracle that made Jesus appear to be dead, even though Jesus was actually still alive.  Thus, this is a third way that there could be a supernatural hypothesis that is similar to the naturalistic hypothesis called the Apparent Death Hypothesis.

MULTIPLYING SUPERNATURAL HYPOTHESES

The philosopher Spinoza was skeptical about miracles and divine revelation. He proposed a powerful objection to miracle claims.  He pointed out that Christians believe that there are various supernatural beings besides God: spirits, angels, and demons. But if there are other supernatural beings besides God, then any alleged "miracle" might actually have been caused by a supernatural being other than God.  

Given that we (a) don't know God's plans, purposes, and motivations, (b) don't know the plans, purposes, and motivations of other supernatural beings, (c) don't know the number and kinds of supernatural beings that exist, and (d) cannot see or directly observe the actions and activities of God or of any other supernatural beings, we have no way of determining whether an alleged "miracle" was brought about by God or by some other supernatural being.

Therefore, any supernatural explanation involving God or divine intervention into human affairs can be modified into a similar supernatural explanation involving some other sort of supernatural being, such as:

• a spirit or ghost
• an angel
• a demon
• a finite deity
• a human with supernatural power(s)

Thus, for any supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate that involves God intervening in human affairs, we can always easily generate at least five more similar supernatural hypotheses involving some other sort of supernatural being intervening in human affairs.

MULTIPLYING NATURAL HYPOTHESES

In Part 19 of this series, I pointed out that Christian apologists often commit the STRAWMAN fallacy by including unnecessary details or complications in a particular naturalistic hypothesis.  So, one way we can generate more naturalistic hypotheses is by either (a) removing an unnecessary detail from a naturalistic hypothesis or (b) substituting alternative details.  

Just as we can substitute an angel or a demon for God in a supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate, so we can substitute a different specific person for a specific person named in a naturalistic hypothesis, or substitute a different category of person for a specific category of person that is specified in a naturalistic hypothesis.

For example, Craig commits the STRAWMAN fallacy in his description of the Displaced Body Hypothesis, because he includes the unnecessary detail that it is Joseph of Arimathea who moves Jesus' body from the stone tomb where it was initially placed.  We could simply remove this detail and characterize the Displaced Body Hypothesis more generally, like this:

SOMEBODY moved Jesus' body from the stone tomb where it was initially placed, but did not tell Jesus' disciples about doing this.

Another way to fix the problem with Craig's overly-specific characterization of this naturalistic hypothesis is to just generate several similar naturalistic hypotheses that name other people:

Nicodemus moved Jesus' body...

A gardener moved Jesus' body...

Some Roman soldiers moved Jesus' body...

James, the brother of Jesus, moved Jesus' body... 

Judas moved Jesus' body...

Peter moved Jesus' body...

John moved Jesus' body...

Mary Magdalene moved Jesus' body...

Thomas moved Jesus' body... 

Whenever a naturalistic hypothesis names a specific person or specifies a particular group or category of persons, we can modify that hypothesis by naming a different person or a different category of persons in order to generate more naturalistic hypotheses.

INDIVIDUATING THE DISCIPLES

Another common problem with a failure of imagination by Christian apologists is that they oversimplify hypotheses by treating Jesus' disciples as a uniform group, rather than as individual people who had different experiences and who might have formed different beliefs about Jesus' final fate.

This is especially obvious in the case of the Conspiracy Hypothesis.  Here is how Craig characterises this naturalistic hypothesis:

According to this explanation, the disciples stole the body of Jesus and lied about his postmortem appearances, thus faking his resurrection.[2]

Craig does not specify the meaning of the phrase "the disciples", but it seems fairly clear that he is referring to Jesus' twelve disciples minus Judas Iscariot. 

It is certainly possible that all eleven remaining disciples out of "the twelve" conspired together to lie about how Jesus' body disappeared and about seeing the risen Jesus.  However, it is not necessarily the case that all eleven disciples were deceivers.  

Some of the eleven disciples could have been deceived.  Each of the eleven disciples had their own individual experiences after Jesus was crucified, and each of them formulated their own individual beliefs about what happened to Jesus after he was crucified.  It is an oversimplification to assume that all eleven disciples had the same experiences and formed the same beliefs about what happened to Jesus after his crucifixion.

If we treat each of the eleven disciples as an individual person, then the Conspiracy Hypothesis can be divided up into many different possibilities, many different combinations of disciples in which some were deceivers, and some were deceived:

Given eleven disciples and two possible states (Deceiver OR Deceived), there are this many different permutations of the disciples:

2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2

= 2 x (2 x 2) x (2 x 2) x (2 x 2) x (2 x 2) x (2 x 2)

= 2 x (4) x (4) x (4) x (4) x (4)

 = 2 x 4 x [(4) x (4)] x [(4) x (4)]

 = 2 x 4 x [16] x [16]

 = (2 x 4) x (16 x 16)

= (8) x (256)

 = 2,048 permutations

In only one of these 2,048 permutations is none of the eleven disciples a deceiver.  So, there are 2,047 different naturalistic hypotheses where at least one of the disciples was a deceiver. Thus, there are 2,047 different naturalistic hypotheses that are contained just in the idea of the Conspiracy Hypothesis if we treat the eleven disciples as individuals, instead of treating them all as a uniform group.

Furthermore, the distinction between being a deciever and being deceived is itself subject to an Either/Or Fallacy and an associated failure of imagination by Christian apologists:

Each of Jesus' eleven remaining disciples was EITHER a deceiver OR was deceived concerning Jesus' final fate.

This Either/Or claim is a false dilemma, because one or more of Jesus' eleven remaining disciples might have been neither a deceiver nor deceived concerning Jesus' final fate.  For example, suppose that Jesus had not risen from the dead, and suppose that one of the disciples seriously doubted or rejected the claim that Jesus rose from the dead, and suppose this disciple did not promote or preach the belief that Jesus rose from the dead.  Such a doubting disciple would have been neither a deceiver nor would this disciple have been deceived concerning Jesus' final fate.

Because the above Either/Or claim is false, we must recognise at least three different possible states for each of the eleven remaining disciples.  That means that the number of historical possibilities suggested by the Conspiracy Hypothesis is much greater than 2,047:

3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3

= 3 x (3 x 3) x (3 x 3) x (3 x 3) x (3 x 3) x (3 x 3)

= 3 x (9) x (9) x (9) x (9) x (9) 

 = 3 x 9 x [(9) x (9)] x [(9) x (9)]

 = 3 x 9 x [81] x [81]

 = (3 x 9) x (81 x 81)

= (27) x (6,561)

 = 177,147 permutations

Some of these 177,147 historical possibilities involve none of the disciples being a deceiver, and thus those possibilities would not be included under the idea of the Conspiracy Hypothesis.  There are 2,048 such permutations where none of the eleven disciples would be a deceiver[3], so the total number of historical possibilities that are included in the idea of the Conspiracy Hypothesis, when we view the eleven remaining disciples as individuals instead of as a uniform group would be this:

 177,147 total - 2,048 permutations with no deceivers

= 175, 099 possibilities with at least one deceiver

CONCLUSIONS 

The fact that three different well-known Christian apologists put forward cases for the resurrection of Jesus that are Dead on Arrival because they commit the Either/Or Fallacy suggests that there is a problem of lack of imagination on the part of many Christian apologists.

I suggest that this lack of imagination is connected to the cognitive bias called Confirmation Bias, so that these Christian apologists do sometimes use their imaginations, but tend to avoid using their imaginations when doing so puts their cherished Christian beliefs at risk.

Kreeft foolishly believed that there were only five possible explanations or hypotheses concerning Jesus' final fate.[4]  McDowell believed there were twice as many explanations of Jesus' final fate: five occupied-tomb explanations, and five empty-tomb explanations.[5]  

In Reasonable Faith, Craig discusses and evaluates four naturalistic hypotheses about the empty tomb, one naturalistic hypothesis about the alleged appearances of the risen Jesus, three naturalistic explanations of the origin of the Christian belief in Jesus' resurrection, and just one supernatural explanation, the Resurrection Hypothesis.[6]

There are many more alternative hypotheses, both supernatural and naturalistic, that should be considered and evaluated, but Christian apologists tend to avoid using their imaginations to generate more than just a handful of hypotheses about the final fate of Jesus, probably because of confirmation bias and because of their sense that generating more such hypotheses would put their belief in the Resurrection Hypothesis at risk. 

END NOTES

1. William Craig, Reasonable Faith, 3rd edition (Wheaton, IL: Crossway, 2008), pp.376-377.

2. William Craig, Reasonable Faith, p.371.

3. Since "Deceived" and "Neither Deceiver nor Deceived" are two alternative states that an individual disciple could be in, we can calculate the total number of permutations that involve eleven disciples each being in one of these two states.  That is the same as the total number of permutations in my first calculation, where each of the eleven disciples was assumed to either be a Deceiver or to be Deceived: 2,048 permutations. 

4. Peter Kreeft and Ronald Tacelli, Handbook of Christian Apologetics (Downers Grove, IL: InterVarsity Press, 1994), p.182.

5. Josh McDowell, The Resurrection Factor (Milton Keynes, England: Authentic Media, 2005), p.114.

6. William Craig, Reasonable Faith. Craig discusses four naturalistic explanations of the empty tomb on pages 371 to 377; Craig discusses one naturalistic explanation of the alleged appearances of the risen Jesus on pages 384 to 387; Craig discusses three naturalistic explanations of the origin of the Christian belief in Jesus' resurrection on pages 390 to 395. Craig compares these eight naturalistic theories to just one supernatural hypothesis: the Resurrection Hypothesis.

William Craig's Case for the Resurrection of Jesus - Part 21: Craig's Either/Or Fallacy

 WHERE WE ARE

In Part 20 of this series, I argued that Craig failed to give us a good reason to believe premise (D1) of the reformulated sub-argument for his key premise (5c).  This means that we may reasonably reject this sub-argument, which gives us a third good reason to conclude that Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus fails.

However, this problem with Craig's case reveals a deeper problem that impacts not only Craig's case but also other cases for the resurrection of Jesus by other Christian apologists.  Specifically, Peter Kreeft's case for the resurrection of Jesus and Josh McDowell's case for the resurrection of Jesus are both Dead on Arrival because their cases involve the Either/Or Fallacy, also referred to as a False Dilemma. Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus is also Dead on Arrival because his case commits the Either/Or Fallacy.

THE EITHER/OR FALLACY

Howard Kahane was a professor of philosophy who promoted informal logic, especially in his textbook called Logic and Contemporary Rhetoric: The Use of Reason in Everyday Life:

According to argumentation theory scholar Michael A. Gilbert, before Kahane's 1971 book, North American curricula on critical thinking and fallacies were primarily taught from textbooks (such as Irving Copi's Introduction to Logic) in which "fallacies are presented in a brief fashion using examples that were mostly invented or taken out of context. [...] The 'radical change' was that Kahane's book took current examples from newspapers and periodicals dealing with issues students cared about or, at least, recognized. This meant that fallacies were more situated than in older books."[1]

Here is Howard Kahane's characterization of the Either/Or Fallacy:

Strictly speaking, the fallacy of false dilemma (also called the either-or-fallacy) occurs when we reason or argue on the assumption that there are just two plausible solutions to a problem or issue, when there is at least three. However, it's convenient to stretch the term false dilemma to cover false trilemmas, and so on.[2]

THE EITHER/OR FALLACY IN PETER KREEFT'S CASE

Let's begin with Peter Kreeft's case for the resurrection of Jesus.  Peter Kreeft uses a diagram to lay out the various logical possibilities in relation to alternative hypotheses about Jesus' final fate[3]:

According to Peter Kreeft, there are only five possible hypotheses about the final fate of Jesus. The five hypotheses are listed on the right side of the above diagram. 

Notice that only the "Christian" hypothesis is a supernatural hypothesis. The Christian Hypothesis here is the same as Craig's Resurrection Hypothesis.  And just as Craig discusses and evaluates only ONE supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate, so does Kreeft discuss and evaluate only ONE supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate.

Kreeft's case for the resurrection of Jesus is Dead on Arrival, because his reasoning can be summarized as follows: 

EO1. EITHER there is a plausible naturalistic hypothesis that explains the relevant facts about Jesus' final fate, OR the supernatural explanation of the Christian Hypothesis is correct.

EO2. There is no plausible naturalistic hypothesis that explains the relevant facts about Jesus' final fate.

THEREFORE:

EO3. The supernatural explanation of the Christian Hypothesis is correct.

Premise (EO1) is false, because there are alternative supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate besides just the Christian Hypothesis (i.e. the Resurrection Hypothesis).

Peter Kreeft's diagram of the logical possibilities is clearly mistaken because it fails to take into account the fact that there are other supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate besides the Christian Hypothesis (or the Resurrection Hypothesis).  In Part 20 of this series, I pointed out that there are at least three such alternative supernatural hypotheses.  Kreeft's case for the resurrection is based on an Either/Or Fallacy.  Premise (EO1), in the above summary of Kreeft's reasoning, asserts a False Dilemma.

THE EITHER/OR FALLACY IN JOSH MCDOWELL'S CASE

Now let's take a look at Josh McDowell's case for the resurrection of Jesus.  McDowell also uses a diagram to lay out the various logical possibilities in relation to alternative hypotheses about Jesus' final fate[4]:

McDowell divides all hypotheses about Jesus' final fate into two broad categories: Occupied Tomb hypotheses and Empty Tomb hypotheses.  Unlike Kreeft and Craig, McDowell does consider one supernatural hypothesis in addition to the Resurrection Hypothesis.  Among the Occupied Tomb hypotheses, McDowell considers and evaluates the Spiritual Resurrection Hypothesis:

A fourth 'occupied tomb' theory is that Christ's body decayed in the grave and that His real resurrection was spiritual.[5]

This hypothesis accepts that there was a resurrection miracle, but that the miracle did not involve Jesus' physical body.  God returned Jesus to life after death, but did not do so by giving Jesus an immortal physical body.  After his death, Jesus became a spirit or an angel, and his physical body remained in the tomb where it had been buried, according to the Spiritual Resurrection Hypothesis.

Because McDowell does consider at least this one supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate, the reasoning that I used to summarize Kreeft's case does not accurately represent McDowell's reasoning. 

However, if we focus on the general category of "Empty Tomb" hypotheses, McDowell does commit a similar Either/Or Fallacy and thus his case for the resurrection of Jesus is Dead on Arrival:

JM1. EITHER there is a plausible naturalistic hypothesis that explains the Empty Tomb and other relevant facts about Jesus' final fate, OR the supernatural Resurrection Hypothesis is correct.

JM2. There is no plausible naturalistic hypothesis that explains the Empty Tomb and other relevant facts about Jesus' final fate.

THEREFORE:

JM3. The supernatural Resurrection Hypothesis is correct.

Premise (JM1) is false because there are alternative supernatural hypotheses besides the Resurrection Hypothesis that explain the empty tomb.  For example, McDowell does not mention or evaluate the Demonic Hypothesis.  In a later post, I will discuss another supernatural hypothesis that would also explain the empty tomb.

Josh McDowell's diagram of the logical possibilities is clearly mistaken because it fails to take into account the fact that there are other supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate that explain the empty tomb besides the Resurrection Hypothesis.  

McDowell's case for the resurrection is based on an Either/Or fallacy.  Premise (JM1), in the above summary of McDowell's reasoning, asserts a False Dilemma.

THE EITHER/OR FALLACY IN WILLIAM CRAIG'S CASE

William Craig summarizes his case for the resurrection of Jesus in two paragraphs on page 360 of his book Reasonable Faith (3rd edition). Although Craig mentions "alternative naturalistic explanations" in those paragraphs, the ONLY reference to a supernatural explanation or hypothesis in those paragraphs is to the "resurrection hypothesis", the view that God raised Jesus from the dead.

Craig also provides a shorter one-paragraph summary of his case at the bottom of page 360 and the top of page 361:

As alluded to above, the case for the historicity of the resurrection of Jesus seems to me to rest upon the evidence for three great, independently established facts: the empty tomb, the resurrection appearances, and the origin of the Christian faith. If these three facts can be established, and no plausible natural explanation can account for them as well as the resurrection hypothesis, then one is justified in inferring Jesus' resurrection as the most plausible explanation of the data.[6] 

Given this summary of his case, Craig's argument is based on showing that the Resurrection Hypothesis provides a more plausible explanation of certain alleged historical facts about Jesus' final fate than various natural explanations or hypotheses.  This completely ignores the fact that there are alternative supernatural hypotheses that should be considered and evaluated in comparison to the Resurrection Hypothesis. 

Therefore, Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus, like Kreeft's case, is Dead on Arrival because it can be accurately summarized as an argument that commits the Either/Or Fallacy:  

EO1. EITHER there is a plausible naturalistic hypothesis that explains the relevant facts about Jesus' final fate, OR the supernatural explanation of the Christian Hypothesis is correct.

EO2. There is no plausible naturalistic hypothesis that explains the relevant facts about Jesus' final fate.

THEREFORE:

EO3. The supernatural explanation of the Christian Hypothesis is correct.

This is a third good reason to conclude that Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus is Dead on Arrival.  His case fails because it is based on a False Dilemma. 

END NOTES

1. "Howard Kahane" in Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howard_Kahane

2. Howard Kahane, Logic and Contemporary Rhetoric, 3rd edition (Belmont, CA: Wadsworth, Inc.,1980), p.80-81.

3. Peter Kreeft and Ronald Tacelli, Handbook of Christian Apologetics (Downers Grove, IL: InterVarsity Press, 1994), p.182.

4. Josh McDowell, The Resurrection Factor (Milton Keynes, England: Authentic Media, 2005), p.114.

5. Josh McDowell, The Resurrection Factor (Milton Keynes, England: Authentic Media, 2005), pp. 90-91.

6. William Craig, Reasonable Faith, 3rd edition (Wheaton, IL: Crossway, 2008), pp.360-361.

William Craig's Case for the Resurrection of Jesus - Part 20: A Third Reason Why Craig's Case Fails

 WHERE WE ARE

Although I have given up, for now, on trying to clarify premise (C1) of Craig's sub-argument for the key premise (5c), I have proposed an alternative principle that is focused exclusively on the question "What was Jesus' final fate?" and that seems to be a plausible and acceptable principle, namely premise (C3) in the argument below. This more narrowly focused principle allows me to reformulate Craig's sub-argument for premise (5c):

D1. The Resurrection Hypothesis about Jesus' final fate is a more plausible explanation of Craig's three key established historical facts concerning Jesus' final fate than the alternative supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate.

B1. The Resurrection Hypothesis about Jesus' final fate is a more plausible explanation of Craig's three key established historical facts concerning Jesus' final fate than the alternative naturalistic hypotheses about Jesus' final fate.

C3. A hypothesis H about Jesus' final fate is the best explanation of a specific set of facts IF AND ONLY IF hypothesis H about Jesus' final fate is a more plausible explanation of that set of facts than the alternative naturalistic hypotheses and the alternative supernatural hypotheses that either (a) have been mentioned or discussed in books or articles published by Christian thinkers or scholars or by non-Christian or skeptical thinkers or scholars in this century or in the previous century or that (b) are versions of those hypotheses in which unnecessary details or complexities have been removed.

THEREFORE:

5c. The best explanation for Craig's three key established historical facts concerning Jesus' final fate is the Resurrection Hypothesis (i.e., God raised Jesus from the dead). 

I will now begin to evaluate this reformulated argument for premise (5c). 

EVALUATION OF PREMISE (D1)

Although premise (D1) does not explicitly state the scope of the phrase "the alternative supernatural hypotheses about the final fate of Jesus", in order for (D1) to logically connect with premise (C3), the scope of this phrase in (D1) must be at least as wide as the scope specified in (C3).  That is to say, (D1) will logically connect with (C3) only if the collection of "the alternative supernatural hypotheses about the final fate of Jesus" that are referenced in premise (D1) includes all of the alternative supernatural hypotheses about the final fate of Jesus that are within the scope specified in premise (C3). 

So, we may reasonably assume that the scope of "the alternative supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate" referenced in premise (D1) are hypotheses that either (a) have been mentioned or discussed in books or articles published by Christian thinkers or scholars or by non-Christian or skeptical thinkers or scholars in this century or in the previous century or that (b) are versions of those hypotheses in which unnecessary details or complexities have been removed.

Premise (D1) is dubious, because Craig has given us no good reason to believe that premise (D1) is true.  But (D1) is not obviously true nor does (D1) assert a self-evident truth. So, Craig's failure to give us a good reason to believe that (D1) is true means it is reasonable to conclude that this premise is dubious; (D1) might well be false.

OTHER SUPERNATURAL HYPOTHESES

How many supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate were discussed by Craig and evaluated in comparison to his favored supernatural hypothesis, the Resurrection Hypothesis? Craig compares ZERO alternative supernatural hypotheses about Jesus' final fate to the Resurrection Hypothesis.  The ONLY supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate that is evaluated by Craig in Chapter 8 of Reasonable Faith is the Resurrection Hypothesis.  

Is it actually the case that the Resurrection Hypothesis is the ONLY supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate? This is obviously not the case, because the Gospel of Luke, for example, clearly suggests a supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate that is an alternative to the Resurrection Hypothesis.

THE GHOST HYPOTHESIS 

According to the Gospel of Luke, Jesus rose from the dead on Sunday morning, less than 48 hours after he was taken down from the cross, and he appeared to his gathered disciples on Sunday evening:  

36 While they were talking about this, Jesus himself stood among them and said to them, “Peace be with you.” 37 They were startled and terrified and thought that they were seeing a ghost. 38 He said to them, “Why are you frightened, and why do doubts arise in your hearts? 39 Look at my hands and my feet; see that it is I myself. Touch me and see, for a ghost does not have flesh and bones as you see that I have." 40 And when he had said this, he showed them his hands and his feet.  (Luke 24:36-40, NRSV Updated Edition, emphasis added)

 

According to this story, Jesus' disciples initially believed that they were seeing a ghost, the ghost of the dead Jesus. The whole purpose of this specific story appears to be to persuade readers that the skeptical view that appearances of the risen Jesus were simply appearances of the ghost of Jesus is a mistaken view.  

This passage in the Gospel of Luke was written to combat an alternative supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate, namely the hypothesis that: Alleged appearances of the risen Jesus to his disciples were simply the appearances of the ghost of Jesus who had died, and who was still dead when these appearances of Jesus to his disciples took place. Let's call this supernatural explanation of the alleged appearances of the risen Jesus the Ghost Hypothesis.

Craig never evaluates this alternative supernatural hypothesis in comparison with the Resurrection Hypothesis, so he never shows that the Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation of his three key alleged historical facts than the Ghost Hypothesis. 

But the Ghost Hypothesis is not only mentioned in the Gospel of Luke, it is also mentioned by many N.T. scholars who have commented on Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke in the 20th century.  

For example, in his commentary on the Gospel of Luke, the Evangelical N.T. scholar Robert Stein makes this comment about the purposes of the author of the Gospel of Luke in telling the above story about an alleged appearance of the risen Jesus:

Another purpose was to demonstrate the physical reality of the risen Christ. What the disciples experienced was not the immortal soul of Jesus or some ghostlike apparition from the nether world.  Rather they experienced the resurrected Christ, and this involved the resurrection of the body.[1]

In other words, the author of the Gospel of Luke told this story and included the specific details in it, in order to combat the skeptical idea that the alleged appearances of the risen Jesus to his disciples were actually appearances of the ghost of Jesus to his disciples. 

Thus, the N.T. scholar Robert Stein references what I have called the Ghost Hypothesis, in his commentary on Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke, a commentary that was published in 1992, near the end of the 20th century. This supernatural hypothesis about the final fate of Jesus was referenced by various Christian scholars in books published in the 20th century, so this hypothesis falls within the scope of hypotheses circumscribed in premise (C3). 

Because Craig is an NT scholar who is familiar with the Gospel of Luke, and especially with the story of the alleged appearance of Jesus to his disciples found in Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke, Craig has no excuse for his failure to consider the Ghost Hypothesis as an alternative to the Resurrection Hypothesis.

THE DEMONIC HYPOTHESIS

Another supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate is suggested by something Jesus himself taught in the Gospel of Mark:

21 And if anyone says to you at that time, ‘Look! Here is the Messiah!’ or ‘Look! There he is!’—do not believe it. 22 False messiahs and false prophets will appear and produce signs and wonders, to lead astray, if possible, the elect. 23 But be alert; I have already told you everything. (Mark 13:21-23, NRSV Updated Edition)

According to Jesus, false messiahs and false prophets can produce "signs and wonders" in order to deceive people.  If that is the case, then it is possible that Jesus was himself a false messiah or a false prophet who managed to rise from the dead as a "sign and wonder" in order to deceive his disciples and others. 

Presumably, the supernatural powers of false messiahs and false prophets do not come from God but from demons or from the devil himself.  Thus, this teaching of Jesus suggests the supernatural hypothesis that: Jesus was raised from the dead by a demon or by the devil, as part of a scheme to deceive Jesus' disciples and other people. Let's call this supernatural hypothesis the Demonic Hypothesis.

According to the Gospels, Jewish opponents of Jesus attributed his miracles to the devil:

22 Then they brought to him a demon-possessed man who was blind and mute, and he cured him, so that the one who had been mute could speak and see. 23 All the crowds were amazed and were saying, “Can this be the Son of David?” 24 But when the Pharisees heard it, they said, “It is only by Beelzebul, the ruler of the demons, that this man casts out the demons.” (Matthew 12:22-24, NRSV Updated Edition)

In 1987, Pope John Paul II taught about how the opponents of Jesus attributed "the miracles performed by Jesus" to "the power of Satan": 

In this regard it is well to observe that these facts are not only attested to and narrated by the apostles and disciples of Jesus, but in many cases they are admitted by his opponents. For example, it is significant that they did not deny the reality of the miracles performed by Jesus, but they attributed them to the power of Satan. For they said, "He is possessed by Beelzebul, and by the prince of demons he drives out demons" (Mk 3:22; cf. also Mt 8:32, 12:24; Lk 11:14-15). [2]

The Pope went on to mention that many other miracles were performed by Jesus:

All the evangelists record the facts to which Peter referred on the day of Pentecost, "mighty deeds, wonders and signs" (cf. Acts 2:22). The Synoptics narrate many individual events, but at times they also use generalized expressions. For example, Mark's Gospel states, "He cured many who were sick with various diseases, and he drove out many demons" (1:34). Likewise Matthew and Luke state, "...curing every disease and illness among the people" (Mt 4:23); "...power came forth from him and healed them all" (Lk 6:19). These expressions give us to understand the great number of miracles performed by Jesus.[2]

At the end of this teaching, the Pope mentioned the resurrection of Jesus, calling it the "miracle of miracles":

...the death [of Jesus] on the cross and the "miracle" of the resurrection (miracle of miracles)...[2] 

Although Pope John Paul II did not explicitly describe the Demonic Hypothesis, his key points imply this hypothesis.  If many of the Jewish opponents of Jesus attributed "the miracles performed by Jesus" to "the power of Satan", and if the resurrection of Jesus was viewed as the "miracle of miracles" by Jesus' followers, how might some of the Jewish opponents of Jesus have cast doubt on this alleged amazing miracle? 

Obviously, some of the Jewish opponents of Jesus might well have admitted that Jesus died and came back to life, but then they would have claimed that this amazing event was brought about by "the power of Satan".  Thus, the message of Pope John Paul II referenced above strongly implies that the Demonic Hypothesis would likely have been one of the skeptical ideas put forward by Jewish opponents of Jesus in the first century. 

Craig, however, does not consider the Demonic Hypothesis in Chapter 8 of Reasonable Faith, and he does not attempt to evaluate this supernatural hypothesis in comparison with the Resurrection Hypothesis in Chapter 8 of Reasonable Faith.  So, Craig does not show that the Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation of his three key alleged historical facts about Jesus' final fate than the Demonic Hypothesis. 

THE VISION HYPOTHESIS

Another alternative supernatural hypothesis is suggested by various stories found in the book of Acts.  For example, in the book of Acts, Stephen, the first Christian martyr, had a vision of Jesus as he made a speech accusing his fellow Jews of having recently murdered the Messiah that God had sent to them: 

51 “You stiff-necked people, uncircumcised in heart and ears, you are forever opposing the Holy Spirit, just as your ancestors used to do. 52 Which of the prophets did your ancestors not persecute? They killed those who foretold the coming of the Righteous One, and now you have become his betrayers and murderers. 53 You are the ones who received the law as ordained by angels, and yet you have not kept it.” 54 When they heard these things, they became enraged and ground their teeth at Stephen. 55 But filled with the Holy Spirit, he gazed into heaven and saw the glory of God and Jesus standing at the right hand of God. 56 “Look,” he said, “I see the heavens opened and the Son of Man standing at the right hand of God!” 57 But they covered their ears, and with a loud shout all rushed together against him. 58 Then they dragged him out of the city and began to stone him...     (Acts 7:51-58, NRSV Updated Edition) 

According to this story, Jesus appeared to Stephen in a VISION; Stephen said to the crowd, "I see the heavens opened..." because nobody else saw Jesus floating in the sky "standing at the right hand of God" at that time. This was an experience that Stephen had that did not correspond to an objective, physically present Jesus.

But if Stephen could have a vision of Jesus, even when Jesus was not physically present, then the same sort of experience could have happened to Jesus' disciples. The story about Stephen in the book of Acts, suggests the idea that the alleged appearances of the risen Jesus to his disciples were actually visions of Jesus, and those experiences were not the result of Jesus being physically present with the disciples.  

Note that a vision is an experience that is caused by God in order for God to communicate an important truth to the person who has this experience. Thus, a vision is NOT the same as a hallucination.  Skeptics who doubt the existence of supernatural beings and supernatural forces prefer the Hallucination Hypothesis, the view that the alleged experiences of a risen Jesus by the disciples were the result of some sort of brain malfunction that produced experiences that had no direct connection with reality.  

The Vision Hypothesis asserts that the alleged experiences by Jesus' disciples of a living Jesus after his crucifixion were not caused by a brain malfunction, but were intentionally caused by God in order to communicate an important truth to Jesus' disciples.  So, the Vision Hypothesis, unlike the Hallucination Hypothesis, implies the existence of God and of supernatural causes of events, including experiences. 

Note that this Vision Hypothesis is mentioned by the Christian apologists Gary Habermas and Michael Licona in their book The Case for the Resurrection of Jesus, which was published in 2004.[3] Christian apologists Peter Kreeft and Ronald Tacelli seem to briefly consider the Vision Hypothesis, which they descibe this way: "...God sent a holy hallucination to teach truths..."[4] The Vision Hypothesis was proposed by Hans Grass in 1964.[5]

Craig, however, does not discuss the Vision Hypothesis in Chapter 8 of Reasonable Faith, nor does Craig attempt in Chapter 8 of Reasonable Faith to evaluate the Vision Hypothesis in comparison with the Resurrection Hypothesis.  So, Craig does not show that the Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation of his three alleged key historical facts than the Vision Hypothesis.

CONCLUSION

In short, there are at least three alternative supernatural hypotheses concerning Jesus' final fate in addition to the Resurrection Hypothesis, but Craig fails to provide a good reason to believe that the Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation of the relevant historical facts than any of these alternative supernatural hypotheses. 

Because it is not obvious that the Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation than these alternative supernatural hypotheses, and because it is not self-evident that the Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation than these alternative supernatural hypotheses, the fact that Craig has failed to give us a good reason to believe premise (D1) of the reformulated sub-argument for the key premise (5c), we may reasonably conclude that premise (D1) is dubious.  This gives us a good reason to reject Craig's sub-argument for (5c), and a third good reason to conclude that his case for the resurrection of Jesus fails.

END NOTES

1. Robert Stein, The New American Commentary, Volume 24: Luke (Nashville, TN: Broadman Press, 1992), p.618.

2. John Paul II, "The Fact and Significance of Christ's Miracles", dated November 11, 1987, viewed on 5/6/26 on this web page: https://inters.org/John-Paul-II-Catechesis-Miracle-Significance

This is part of  Catechesis on the Meaning of Miracles, November 11, 1987 - January 13, 1988, by Pope John Paul II. 

3. Gary Habermas and Michael Licona, The Case for the Resurrection of Jesus (Grand Rapids, MI: Kregel Publications, 2004), page 155. 

4. Peter Kreeft and Ronald Tacelli, Handbook of Christian Apologetics (Downers Grove, IL: InterVarsity Press, 1994), p.188.

5. Google AI response to "Objective Vision Theory":

William Craig's Case for the Resurrection of Jesus - Part 19: Further Refinement of Premise (C)

 WHERE WE ARE

Here again, is Craig's sub-argument for the key premise (5c):

D. The Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation of Craig's three key established historical facts concerning Jesus' final fate than the alternative supernatural hypotheses.

B. The Resurrection Hypothesis is a more plausible explanation of Craig's three key established historical facts concerning Jesus' final fate than the alternative naturalistic hypotheses.

C1. A hypothesis H is the best explanation of a specific set of facts IF AND ONLY IF hypothesis H is a more plausible explanation of that set of facts than the alternative naturalistic hypotheses and the alternative supernatural hypotheses.

THEREFORE:

5c. The best explanation for Craig's three key established historical facts concerning Jesus' final fate is the Resurrection Hypothesis (i.e., God raised Jesus from the dead). 

I have given up hope, at least for now, of trying to clarify the principle stated in premise (C1).  Thus, I have given up hope, at least for now, of attempting to rationally evaluate whether (C1) is true or false, probable or improbable. Therefore, I am unable to conclude that this sub-argument for (5c) is sound.(Note: I could still determine it to be an unsound argument, if I can clarify one of the other premises and determine that one of the other premises is false or improbable or dubious).

In Part 18 of this series, I proposed that we narrow the scope of premise (C1) so that it only addresses the question of Jesus' final fate.  In that case, I had an idea for how to reformulate (C1) to turn it into a plausible principle:

C2. A hypothesis H about Jesus' final fate is the best explanation of a specific set of facts IF AND ONLY IF hypothesis H about Jesus' final fate is a more plausible explanation of that set of facts than the alternative naturalistic hypotheses and the alternative supernatural hypotheses that have been mentioned or discussed in books or articles published by Christian thinkers or scholars or by non-Christian or skeptical thinkers or scholars in this century or in the previous century. 

However, on reflection, it now seems to me that the principle stated in (C2) is not correct and is not acceptable as it stands.  This principle is too constrictive; the scope is too narrow for the principle to be plausible and acceptable.

WHY PREMISE (C2) IS TOO NARROW

I have studied the question of the resurrection of Jesus for a number of decades, and one problem that I have found repeatedly with the arguments of Christian apologists is that they frequently commit the STRAWMAN fallacy when they criticize alternative naturalistic hypotheses.

The way that they do this is by including a number of unnecessary details and complexities in their characterizations of naturalistic hypotheses about Jesus' final fate.  

For example, when I recently outlined some of the naturalistic hypotheses considered by William Craig in Chapter 8 of Reasonable Faith, I revised his characterization of two of the naturalistic hypotheses because he included unnecessary details in his characterizations (see End Notes #4 and #5 in Part 17 of this series).  The more details and the more complexities one includes in characterizations of a naturalistic hypothesis, the less likely it is that the naturalistic hypothesis (so described) will be true. 

It might well be the case that Craig commits the Strawman fallacy unknowingly, and thus innocently, when he characterized these two naturalistic hypotheses: 

• The Wrong Tomb Hypothesis (WTH)
• The Displaced Body Hypothesis (DBH)

In Craig's defense, he accurately described the Wrong Tomb Hypothesis as it was presented by Kirsopp Lake, and he accurately described the Displaced Body Hypothesis as it was presented by Joseph Klausner.  Nevertheless, it is unfair of Craig to characterize these two theories in a way that includes unnecessary details.

Why would the proponents of these alternative naturalistic hypotheses have included unnecessary details?  This error by Lake and by Klausner (and by Craig), is very natural and quite understandable.  It is based on a common cognitive bias that we all have and that we all must consciously fight against, namely the Conjunction Fallacy:  

Cognitive Biases: The Conjunction Fallacy

The Conjunction Fallacy: Where Intuition and Probability Collide

Another cognitive bias also appears to be at work here, namely the Availability Heuristic:

What is the Availability Heuristic?

The characteristic of "vividness" is relevant to this problem with many characterizations of naturalistic hypotheses.  

By including unnecessary details, a storyteller can make the description of an event more vivid, more easily imagined or pictured in the minds of people who hear or read the story.  The vividness of a story often makes that story seem more plausible to the people who hear or read that story.  However, it is simply a fact of probability that the more details are included in a description of an event, the less likely it is the case that the event actually occurred as described. 

The reason that I cannot accept the principle stated in (C2) is that it is very common for alternative naturalistic hypotheses to be characterized UNFAIRLY, because naturalistic hypotheses are frequently characterized with the use of unnecessary details or unnecessary complexity.  Therefore, in order to give alternative naturalistic hypotheses a fair treatment, we must often reformulate the descriptions or characterizations of these hypotheses in order to remove unnecessary details or unnecessary complexities, as I have already done with Craig's characterizations of two alternative naturalistic hypotheses.

A REFINEMENT OF PREMISE (C2)

In view of the above problems with the principle stated in premise (C2), I propose the following revision of that premise:

C3. A hypothesis H about Jesus' final fate is the best explanation of a specific set of facts IF AND ONLY IF hypothesis H about Jesus' final fate is a more plausible explanation of that set of facts than the alternative naturalistic hypotheses and the alternative supernatural hypotheses that either (a) have been mentioned or discussed in books or articles published by Christian thinkers or scholars or by non-Christian or skeptical thinkers or scholars in this century or in the previous century or that (b) are versions of those hypotheses in which unnecessary details or complexities have been removed.

CONCLUSION 

I realize that this refined version of premise (C) is more complicated and detailed than the original version (C1) and than the more narrowly scoped premise (C2).  But the additional details and complexity are, in my view, needed in order for this principle to be plausible and acceptable.