Sunday, May 24, 2026

William Craig's Case for the Resurrection of Jesus - Part 25: Craig's Three Key Historical Claims

 THE SUB-ARGUMENT FOR PREMISE (B)

In Part 24 of this series, I argued that the sub-argument for the key premise (B) in Craig's case was dubious because it contains a dubious premise:

1c. IF Craig's three key historical claims can be established as being historical facts and no plausible nautural explanation can account for them as well as the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead", THEN the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is the most plausible explanation of Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts.

C. Craig's three key historical claims can be established as being historical facts AND no plausible nautural explanation can account for Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts as well as the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead."

 THEREFORE:

B. The hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is the most plausible explanation of Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts.

I argued that premise (1c) is dubious because it is based on a False Dilemma.  Craig failed to take into account other supernatural hypotheses besides the one he favors: "God raised Jesus from the dead."  Furthermore, premise (1c) might be simply false if I am correct that there are other supernatural hypotheses that provide explanations of Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts that are more plausible than the the explanation provided by the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead." Premise (1c) would also be false if, contrary to Craig's view, some natural hypotheses can account for his three key historical claims/facts as well as, or better than, the "God raised Jesus from the dead" miracle hypothesis.  

I also suspect that premise (C) is dubious or false, because I have doubts about both of the claims asserted by premise (C). If premise (C) is dubious or false, then that will give us another good reason to reject Craig's sub-argument for premise (B), and further confirmation that Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus fails.

THE SUB-ARGUMENT FOR PREMISE (C)

Here is the sub-argument that supports premise (C):

2. Craig's three key historical claims can be established as being historical facts.

A1. No plausible nautural explanation can account for Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts as well as the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead." 

THEREFORE:

C. Craig's three key historical claims can be established as being historical facts AND no plausible nautural explanation can account for Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts as well as the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead."

I suspect that premise (2) is false.  If I am correct, then this sub-argument for premise (C) is unsound, and Craig has failed to give us a good reason to believe that premise (C) is true.  

Furthermore, since premise (C) is the conjunction of both premise (2) and premise (A1), the falsehood of premise (2) would imply that premise (C) is itself false. And if premise (C) is false, then Craig's sub-argument for the key premise (B) would be an unsound argument, and we would have another good reason to reject Craig's sub-argument for (B), and we would have further confirmation that Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus fails. 

CRAIG'S THREE KEY HISTORICAL CLAIMS

Before we can determine whether premise (C) is true or false, probable or improbable, we need to figure out precisely what the phrase "Craig's three key historical claims" means.

In the second paragraph of the longer summary of his case,  Craig spells out the three key historical claims that he uses to show that the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" provides the best explanation of the evidence relevant to Jesus' final fate: 

In my estimation the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" furnishes the best explanation of the historical data relevant to Jesus' final fate.  The inductive grounds for the inference of this explanation consist primarily of the evidence of three independently established facts: (1) the tomb of Jesus was found empty by a group of his women followers on the first day of the week following his crucifixion, (2) various individuals and groups thereafter experienced on different occasions and under varying circumstances appearrances of Jesus alive, and (3) the first disciples came sincerely to believe in Jesus' resurrection in the absence of sufficient antecedent historical influences from either Judaism or pagan religions. ... (Reasonable Faith, 3rd ed., p.360) 

In the context of this paragraph, the phrase "Craig's three key historical claims" refers to the following three historical claims that are asserted in the above quotation:

HC1:The tomb of Jesus was found empty by a group of his women followers on the first day of the week following his crucifixion.

HC2: Beginning on the first day of the week following Jesus' crucifixion, various individuals and groups experienced on different occasions and under varying circumstances appearances of Jesus alive. 

HC3: The first disciples of Jesus came sincerely to believe in Jesus' resurrection.

Note that for (HC3) I removed this qualification from the end of the sentence: "...in the absence of sufficient antecedent historical influences from either Judaism or pagan religions."  

Craig has confused his relevant historical claim with his argument about the significance of that alleged fact, but those two ideas should be kept separate and distinct. Craig has an argument against some possible natural explanations of WHY the first disciples of Jesus came sincerely to believe in Jesus' resurrection, but that is a separate issue from WHETHER the first disciples of Jesus came to sincerely believe in Jesus' resurrection.  Craig muddied the water by combining those two different issues together into a single statement.

In terms of (HC1) and (HC2), Craig keeps the issue of WHETHER those key historical claims are established facts separate and distinct from the issue of WHY those facts are what they are.  But with (HC3) Craig anxiously jumps the gun and launches into the question of WHY the first disciples of Jesus came to sincerely believe in Jesus' resurrection, before he had properly dealt with the question of WHETHER it is an established fact that the first disciples of Jesus came to sincerely believe in Jesus' resurrection. This is confused and unclear thinking.  So, I have clarified Craig's reasoning by keeping these two different issues separate and distinct.

This does not in any way prevent Craig from putting forward his arguments about WHY the first disciples of Jesus came to sincerely believe in Jesus' resurrection.  But those arguments are of no relevance unless and until Craig has shown that it is an established fact that the first disciples of Jesus came to sincerely believe in Jesus' resurrection. Craig needs to slow down and take one step at a time concerning (HC3).

MY INITIAL EVALUATION OF CRAIG'S THREE CLAIMS

My initial evaluation is that NONE of Craig's three key historical claims is a historical fact. Because of the difficulty of knowing anything about the historical Jesus, it would be unreasonable to claim to know that any of these three claims was false. However, I am inclined to believe that each of the three claims is either dubious or probably false

If each of the three claims is dubious, then it is probable that at least one of these claims is false, and if each of the three claims is probably false, then it is very probable that at least one of these claims is false. Thus, my initial evaluation of these three claims is clearly contrary to Craig's assertion that each of these claims constitutes an established historical fact.

CRAIG'S MOST IMPORTANT HISTORICAL CLAIM

Let's begin with what is probably the most important historical claim that Craig makes in his case for the resurrection of Jesus, his claim about alleged appearances of the risen Jesus:

HC2: Beginning on the first day of the week following Jesus' crucifixion, various individuals and groups experienced on different occasions and under varying circumstances appearances of Jesus alive. 

I view this as the most important claim of Craig's three key historical claims. 

The first claim is about Jesus' tomb being found empty, but even if that claim were shown to be an established historical fact, that would NOT be strong evidence for a miracle claim, namely the claim that "God raised Jesus from the dead".  There are many possible explanations for why the tomb of Jesus might have been found to be empty, and the resurrection of Jesus doesn't seem to be a particularly compelling explanation for such a fairly ordinary event. Thus, (HC1) seems to be the weakest piece of evidence for Craig's conclusion that "God raised Jesus from the dead".

The third historical claim that the first disciples of Jesus came to sincerely believe in Jesus' resurrection is of greater significance than the first historical claim, (HC1).  However, people are often unreasonable or foolish and believe magical or fantastical claims on the basis of weak and dubious evidence, so it is possible that the disciples of Jesus did come to sincerely believe in Jesus' resurrection but that they were mistaken about this belief.  So, although (HC3) seems to be better evidence than (HC1) for the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead", it still seems to be weak and insufficient evidence for such a strong claim.

If Craig's case is to be a strong and compelling one, then he will need to show that his claim about alleged appearances of the risen Jesus is an established historical fact.  Failing to show that (HC2) is a historical fact would give us a very good reason to reject the key premise (2), and another good reason to conclude that his case for the resurrection of Jesus fails.  

Given the importance of (HC2) for his case, it is a surprisingly vague claimWho were these "various individuals and groups"?  No names are mentioned.  When did these alleged appearances of Jesus happen?  Where did these alleged appearances take place? What were the circumstances when these appearances occurred? Time of day? Weather conditions? Indoors or outdoors? What was the social and psychological context? What precisely did these "various individuals and groups" see or experience? 

Craig's second historical claim is rather vague and lacking in important details. But this is a common problem with the arguments of Christian apologists.  When it comes to really important and crucial claims, Christian apologists often become rather vague and unclear.

THE MAIN HISTORICAL EVIDENCE FOR (HC2)

However, when Craig presents his evidence for this vague claim, he makes more specific claims and adds some specific details.  In RF3, Craig presents three main pieces of evidence in support of his vague historical claim about alleged appearances of the risen Jesus. 

Let's focus our attention on what Craig tells us is "the best-attested resurrection appearance of Jesus." (RF3, p.378):

Undoubtedly, the reference here [in a quote of 1 Corinthians 15:3-8] is to that original group of disciples who had been chosen by Jesus during his ministry--less, of course, Judas, whose absenced did not affect the formal title of the group [i.e., "the Twelve" in 1 Corinthians 15:5]. This is the best attested resurrection appearance of Jesus. It, too, is included in the very early traditional formula that Paul cites, and Paul himself had contact with members of the Twelve.  Moreover, we have independent stories of this appearance in Luke 24:36-42 and John 20:19-20. ...There can be little doubt that such an appearance occurred, for it is attested in the old Christian tradition [quoted in 1 Corinthians 15], vouched for by Paul [the author of 1 Corinthians], who had personal contact with the Twelve, and is independently described by both Luke and John. (RF3, p.378)

If this "best-attested" appearance of the risen Jesus turns out to be dubious or false, then Craig's most important historical claim (HC2) is dubious or false, and we will have another good reason to conclude that his case for the resurrection of Jesus fails.

An important part of Craig's evidence for this alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas Iscariot) consists of these two Gospel passages:

  • Luke 24:36-42 
  • John 20:19-20
According to these two Gospel passages, the risen Jesus appeared to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas Iscariot) in Jerusalem on Sunday evening, about 48 hours after Jesus was removed from the cross.

We can immediately set aside the passage from Chapter 20 of the Gospel of John as being of little historical significance, because the Gospel of John provides an historically unreliable account of the life and the words of Jesus.[1]  

Furthermore, there are a number of specific historical problems with the content of the Passion Narrative in the Gospel of John in Chapter 18 and Chapter 19[2], as well as additional specific historical problems with the content of Chapter 20 of the Gospel of John[3], and those various historical problems cast further doubt on the historical reliability of the passage that Craig points to in Chapter 20 of the Gospel of John.

That leaves us with the other Gospel passage from Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke. This evidence, however, is weak and unpersuasive.  In fact, it is not merely the case that this alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to his disciples in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday is historically dubious based on the relevant historical evidence; this alleged appearance of the risen Jesus is probably fictional.  It is probably the case that "the best-attested resurrection appearance of Jesus" did NOT actually happen!

Craig fails to mention that there is powerful evidence against the historicity of the alleged appearance of Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas Iscariot) in Jerusalem on the first Easter, even though Craig is fully aware of this evidence. His failure to mention this contrary evidence damages his credibility on the issue of whether "God raised Jesus from the dead".  In remaining silent about the obvious contrary evidence, he sacrificed his intellectual integrity and objectivity, presumably for the purpose of promoting his version of Christianity to poorly informed readers of RF3.

The problem is that the story about the alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas Iscariot) in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday is that this story contradicts both the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew. For these reasons, it is probably the case that this story in Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke about an alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to his disciples in Jerusalem on the first Easter is a fictional story.

The Gospel of Mark was the first of the four Gospels to be written, and most N.T. scholars believe that the author of the Gospel of Matthew and the author of the Gospel of Luke used the Gospel of Mark as a primary source of information about the life of Jesus, including his trials, crucifixion, burial, and alleged resurrection. For these reasons, the account in the Gospel of Mark of what happened to Jesus after his crucifixion should be viewed as more likely to be historically reliable than the account of what happened to Jesus after his crucifixion that we find in the Gospel of Luke.  

Furthermore, the author of the Gospel of Matthew follows the Gospel of Mark on this matter, so it also contradicts the appearance story found in Luke 24:36-42.  Thus, we have two Gospels that both contradict this story about an alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to his disciples from the Gospel of Luke

Both the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew imply that the first appearance of the risen Jesus to Jesus' male disciples took place in Galilee, after the disciples returned from Jerusalem to Galilee, which means that this first appearance of the risen Jesus to his disciples took place about a week or more AFTER Jesus was crucified, and thus this did NOT take place in Jerusalem about 48 hours after Jesus was taken down from his cross.

In addition to the fact that the Gospel of Mark was written earlier than the Gosepl of Luke, and in addition to the fact that the Gospel of Mark was used as a primary source of information about Jesus by the author of the Gospel of Luke and by the author of the Gospel of Matthew, and in addition to the fact that the Gospel of Matthew agrees with the Gospel of Mark that the first appearance of the risen Jesus to his male disciples took place in Galilee about a week or more after Jesus was crucified, there is the additional problem that the author of the Gospel of Luke clearly had a dramatic and theological motivation to alter the time an place of the first appearance of the risen Jesus to his male disciples.

The Gospel of Luke and the book of Acts are a two-volume set written by the same author. Together, these two volumes are organized in relation to sacred geography. The plot is shaped by the geographical spread of the movement initiated by Jesus: 

1. Jesus announces the Good News of the coming kingdom of God in Galilee (northern Palestine):Luke 4:14-21.

2. At the end of his ministry, Jesus takes the Good News to the sacred city of Jerusalem (southern Palestine) where he is rejected by his fellow Jews and is killed: Luke 21:37-23:49.

3. Jesus then allegedly rises from the dead in Jerusalem and turns over the preaching of the Good News to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas), who found the Christian church in Jerusalem: Luke 23:50-24:53.

4. Jesus' disciples first spread the Good News and build the Jesus movement in Jerusalem and  Palestine in general: Acts 1:6- Acts XX:YY.

 5. Peter had a vision and became convinced that the Good News should be preached to non-Jews and taken beyond Palestine  Acts XX:YY -, esp. Acts 23:11.

5. The apostle Paul takes the Good News beyond Palestine and eventually to Rome, the capital of the Roman Empire.

This plot involving the geography of the spread of the Good News and of the movement initiated by Jesus is clearly important to the author of the Gospel of Luke, and this provides a motivation for the author to alter the story about what happened to Jesus and his disciples after Jesus was crucified.  Instead of having "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas Iscariot) head back to Galilee in northern Palestine after the crucifixion of Jesus, Luke changes the story found in the Gospel of Mark, and has "the Twelve" disciples remain in Jerusalem for several weeks.

That the author of the Gospel of Luke intentionally altered the story found in the earlier Gospel of Mark is particularly obvious in how the author of the Gospel of Luke changes a story from the Gospel of Mark where a message is given to the women who visited Jesus' tomb on Sunday morning. Here is the relevant passage from the Gospel of Mark:

5 As they [Mary Magdalene and Mary the mother of James and Salome] entered the tomb, they saw a young man dressed in a white robe sitting on the right side, and they were alarmed. 6 But he said to them, “Do not be alarmed; you are looking for Jesus of Nazareth, who was crucified. He has been raised; he is not here. Look, there is the place they laid him. 7 But go, tell his disciples and Peter that he is going ahead of you to Galilee; there you will see him, just as he told you.”  (Mark 16:5-7, New Revised Standard Version, Updated Edition)

The Gospel of Matthew agrees with the Gospel of Mark about the message given to the women at Jesus' tomb:

5 But the angel said to the women, “Do not be afraid, for I know that you are looking for Jesus who was crucified. 6 He is not here, for he has been raised, as he said. Come, see the place where he lay. 7 Then go quickly and tell his disciples, ‘He has been raised from the dead, and indeed he is going ahead of you to Galilee; there you will see him.’ This is my message for you.” (Matthew 28:5-7, New Revised Standard Version, Updated Edition)

In both the Gospel of Mark and in the Gospel of Matthew, the message given to the women at the tomb is that Jesus is already headed to Galilee in northern Palestine and that the disciples will see the risen Jesus when they also return to Galilee.

Note how the author of the Gospel of Luke alters the message given to the women:

5 The women were terrified and bowed their faces to the ground, but the men said to them, “Why do you look for the living among the dead? He is not here but has risen. 6 Remember how he told you, while he was still in Galilee, 7 that the Son of Man must be handed over to the hands of sinners and be crucified and on the third day rise again.” (Luke 24:5-7, New Revised Standard Version, Updated Edition) 

Instead of a message instructing the women to tell Jesus' male disciples to head back to Galilee to meet up with the risen Jesus, the women are told to remember something Jesus had told them "while he was still in Galilee".  The author of the Gospel of Luke retained the reference to "Galilee," but changed the message so that it no longer spoke of Jesus already being on his way back to Galilee.

Finally, according to the Gospel of Luke when the risen Jesus appears to his disciples in Jerusalem, he instructs them to preach the Gospel "to all nations, beginning from Jerusalem," and tells them to stay in Jerusalem until he sends the Holy Spirit to empower them: 

46 and he said to them, “Thus it is written, that the Messiah is to suffer and to rise from the dead on the third day 47 and that repentance and forgiveness of sins is to be proclaimed in his name to all nations, beginning from Jerusalem. 48 You are witnesses of these things. 49 And see, I am sending upon you what my Father promised, so stay here in the city until you have been clothed with power from on high.” (Luke 24:46-49, New Revised Standard Version, Updated Edition)

No such message was given to Jesus' disciples while they were still in Jerusalem, according to the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew. In fact, they were told to head back to Galilee so that they could see and meet with the risen Jesus. This is further confirmation that the author of the Gospel of Luke has altered the earlier account found in the Gospel of Mark, shaping it to conform to the geographical plot scheme of the two-volume work of Luke/Acts. 

Anyone who has studied the Gospel passages about the alleged resurrection of Jesus knows about this contradiction between, on the one hand, the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew, and, on the other hand, the Gospel of Luke. So, I'm confident that Craig is familiar with this contradiction between the Gospel accounts, but he does not bother to mention this powerful evidence against the historicity of the story of the alleged appearance of Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas Iscariot) found in Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke.  

Craig's failure to mention that the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew contradict the story about the alleged appearance of Jesus to "the Twelve" (minus Judas) in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday is either a deliberate deception by Craig, or else it is a striking example of the powerful influence of confirmation bias in Craig's thinking about the issue of whether "God raised Jesus from the dead."

In any case, the two Gospel passages cited by Craig fail to show that the alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" (minus Judas Iscariot) in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday is a historical fact.  Furthermore, the relevant evidence from the four Gospels shows that this story in Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke is probably fiction.

THE VIEW OF LEADING NEW TESTAMENT SCHOLARS

My view that the first appearances of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" (minus Judas) took place in Galilee a week or more after the crucifixion of Jesus is NOT an idiosyncratic view held by just a handful of atheists and skeptics. Rather, this has been the view of many New Testament scholars, and it is the view of a number of leading New Testament scholars who are experts on the Gospels and/or on the historical Jesus.  For example: E.P. Sanders, Raymond Brown, and Reginald Fuller.

The leading N.T. scholar E.P. Sanders notes that the Gospel accounts about the alleged appearances of the risen Jesus are contradictory:

According to Matthew and Mark, when the women returned to the tomb a day and a half later to care for Jesus' body...they found that the tomb was empty.  According to Matthew (hinted at also in Mark) Jesus appeared to the women and then later to the disciples in Galilee. ...

...According to Matthew and Mark, the disciples went to Galilee and saw Jesus there; according to Luke, they did not leave the environs of Jerusalem.[4]

Sanders concludes that we cannot reconstruct the actual historical sequence of events because of the conflicting accounts found in the Gospels: 

Faced with accounts of this nature--sharply diverging stories of where and to whom Jesus appeared, lack of agreement and clarity on what he was like...we cannot reconstruct what really happened.  Throughout this book I have offered suggestions about what lies behind passages in the gospels. On the present topic, however, I do not see how to improve on the evidence, or how to get behind it. I have views about parts of it, such as the movement of the disciples: they fled to Galilee and then returned to Jerusalem.  Luke's view, that they never left the environs of Jerusalem, is explained by the 'Jerusalemo-centric' character of his two-volume work, Luke-Acts. But I do not pretend to know what they saw or just who saw it.[5] 

Note that Sanders sides with the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew and against the Gospel of Luke concerning the movement of Jesus' disciples after his crucifixion.  

After his arrest, Jesus' disciples fled to Galilee; they did not remain in Jerusalem for several weeks. That implies that the first appearances of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" (minus Judas) took place in Galilee, not in Jerusalem, and that those appearances took place a week or more after Jesus was crucified. Therefore, the story about an alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to his disciples in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday, the appearance story we find in Luke 24:36-42, is probably a fictional story.

The eminent New Testament and historical Jesus scholar Raymond Brown came to a similar conclusion as E.P. Sanders. Brown notes the contradictions between the Gospels on this matter:

Just as the Jerusalem tradition leaves little or no room for subsequent Galilean appearances, the Galilean narratives seem to rule out any prior appearances of Jesus to the Twelve in Jerusalem. The angel's directive in Mark 16:7 and Matt 28:7 bids the disciples to go to Galilee to see Jesus--a command that would make little sense were they to see him first in Jerusalem!  When Jesus does appear to the disciples on the mountain in Galilee (Matt 28:16-17), they express doubt; and such hesitancy is associated elsewhere with initial appearances (Luke 24:37, John 20:25, Mark 16:13,14). There would be no reason for doubt if the disciples had already seen Jesus in Jerusalem and knew of his resurrection.[6]

Like Sanders,  Brown sides with the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew against the Gospel of Luke on the matter of where the first appearances of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" (minus Judas) took place:

Let me offer the following hypothesis which has gained a certain favor among critical scholars. The basic appearance to the Twelve did not take place in Jerusalem on Easter Sunday--if it had taken place and they had been commissioned to a missionary endeavor, their subsequent return to their homes in Galilee would be difficult to explain. Rather, the Twelve fled Jerusalem and made their way back to Galilee, discouraged by the arrest and crucifixion of Jesus. ...As Simon Peter returned to his occupation of fishing, Jesus appeared to him on the shores of Sea of Tiberius, and resurrection faith was born....Subsequently, Jesus appeared to the Twelve, confirming perhaps the inchoate faith stirred by Peter's report.[7] 

Brown, like Sanders, concludes that the first appearances of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas) took place in Galilee a week or more after the crucifixion of Jesus.  Brown has significant doubts about the appearance story in Luke 24:36-42.  Brown doubts that there was an appearance of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas) that happened in Jerusalem on Sunday about 48 hours after Jesus was removed from the cross. 

Reginald Fuller is a scholar who is a recognized expert on the New Testament accounts of the resurrection of Jesus. He authored the reference-work article "Resurrection of Christ" in The Oxford Companion to the Bible[8] as well as the reference-work article "resurrection" in HarperCollins Bible Dictionary[9].  Fuller concluded that the "appearances" of the risen Jesus were visions experienced by some of Jesus' disciples and followers.  Fuller, like Sanders and Brown, also concluded that the first appearances of the risen Jesus were experienced in Galilee, not Jerusalem:

There is also indication that the disciples verified the women's discovery [of the empty tomb] (Luke 24.12,24; John 20.3-10). Probably this followed the disciples return to Jerusalem, after their visions in Galilee; they must have welcomed the empty tomb as congruous with the Easter faith, which they had already arrived at through the visions.  The empty tomb did not create the Easter faith, and in any case it is in itself an ambiguous fact, susceptible of other explanations alluded to in the New Testament itself (e.g., Matt. 27.64; John 20.15).[8]

In his very scholarly two-volume commentary (nearly 1,300 pages long) on the Gospel of Luke, the New Testament scholar John Nolland gives his view on this issue. First, he notes some conflicts between the various Gospel accounts about alleged appearances of Jesus:

The question of the relationship between appearances in Jerusalem and Galilee requires a little more discussion. On the face of it, the angelic message in 16:7 [of the Gospel of Mark] would leave no room for initial Jerusalem appearances...while Luke 24:49 would leave no room for subsequent Galilean appearances.[9]

Then Nolland puts his own view forward, which is similar to that of Sanders, Brown, and Fuller:

Probably the best harmonization would be achieved by locating the decisive initial appearance(s) in Galilee... with a subsequent set of appearances in Jerusalem, to which the disciple band had returned for the feast of Pentecost...[9] 

Thus, Nolland prefers the accounts in the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew over the account in Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke in which the risen Jesus appears to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas) in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday, about 48 hours after Jesus was taken down from the cross. Nolland believes that it is more likely that the first appearances of the risen Jesus to his disciples took place in Galilee, a week or more after the crucifixion of Jesus.

THE EVIDENCE FROM 1 CORINTHIANS 

According to Craig,

There can be little doubt that such an appearance occurred, for it is attested in the old Christian tradition... (RF3, p.378).  

In other words, the story of an alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas) in Jerusalem on Easter Sunday, the alleged appearance of the risen Jesus that is described in Luke 24:36-42, is confirmed by evidence from an earlier source than the Gospel of Luke.

Paul's letter to the Corinthians that is called "I Corinthians" is not only earlier than the Gospel of Luke, it is also earlier than the first Gospel, the Gospel of Mark.  1 Corinthians was probably written between 53 and 55 C.E., which means that it was written about 15 years before the Gospel of Mark. In Chapter 15 of I Corinthians, Paul refers to a Christian creed or teaching that he had previously taught and preached in Corinth:

3 For I handed on to you as of first importance what I in turn had received: that Christ died for our sins in accordance with the scriptures 4 and that he was buried and that he was raised on the third day in accordance with the scriptures 5 and that he appeared to Cephas, then to the twelve.  (1 Corinthians 15:3-5, New Revised Standard Version, Updated Edition)

Since Paul had "received" or learned this creed or teaching before teaching and preaching it at Corinth, it must have existed before Paul visited Corinth and preached there. So, Craig is correct in characterizing the above passage as containing "the old Christian tradition". This creed or teaching that Paul had learned must not only predate his writing of 1 Corinthians, but also his previous visit to Corinth when he preached about the death and resurrection of Jesus.

Paul had previously visited Corinth for a year and a half from 50 to 52 CE.  That means that "the old Christian tradition" that Craig points to, already existed in 50 C.E., which is only about 20 years after Jesus was crucified. This Christian tradition thus was in existence about 20 years before the Gospel of Mark was written, so this is very early information about the beliefs of the first Christians.

However, the Christian creed or tradition that Paul references in Chapter 15 of 1 Corinthians is too vague and sketchy to provide confirmation of the appearance story provided in Luke 24:36-42. There is no indication of WHEN Jesus appeared "to the twelve", and there is no indication of WHERE Jesus appeared "to the twelve". The Christian tradition does NOT state that Jesus appeared "to the twelve" in Jerusalem, and it does NOT state that Jesus appeared "to the twelve" on the first Easter Sunday, about 48 hours after Jesus was removed from the cross.

Furthermore, it is not clear in "the old Christian tradition" that Jesus appeared to "the twelve" all at the same time and in the same place.  If Jesus had appeared to his disciples one at a time and in different places, it would still be correct to say that Jesus "appeared to the twelve." 

Thus, "the old Christian tradition" fails to confirm the alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas) in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday, when those disciples were all gathered together.  Thus, "the old Christian tradition" fails to confirm the story of the alleged appearance of the risen Jesus that is presented in Luke 24:36-42. 

THE EVIDENCE FROM PAUL HIMSELF

The last piece of evidence Craig gives in support of this alleged appearance of Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas) in Jerusalem on Sunday, about 48 hours after Jesus had been removed from the cross, is that Paul "vouches" for this appearance:

There can be little doubt that such an appearance occurred, for it is attested in the old Christian tradition, vouched for by Paul, who had personal contact with the Twelve... (RF3, p.378, emphasis added).

There is an ambiguity here about what precisely it is that Paul is "vouching for" in Chapter 15 of 1 Corinthians.  Is Paul "vouching for" the historicity and accuracy of the appearance story found in Chapter 24 of the Gospel of Luke?  That is not possible, because Paul wrote 1 Corinthians in about 54 CE, but the Gospel of Luke did not yet exist at that time, and would not be written until about three decades later.

Paul could have "vouched for" the belief that the risen Jesus appeared to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas) in Jerusalem on Sunday about 48 hours after Jesus had been taken down from the cross.  But Paul does not mention such an appearance of the risen Jesus in I Corinthians, or in any other letter that Paul wrote.  

What Paul "vouched for" when he preached and taught in Corinth, and when he wrote I Corinthians, is "the old Christian tradition" about the death and resurrection of Jesus. But as we have seen above, that tradition is too vague to provide significant confirmation of the appearance story presented in Luke 24:36-42.  Therefore, the vouching that Paul does in 1 Corinthians fails to confirm the appearance story presented in Luke 24:36-42. 

EVALUATION OF THE MAIN HISTORICAL EVIDENCE FOR (HC2)

According to Craig, the alleged appearance of the risen Jesus to "the Twelve" disciples (minus Judas Iscariot) in Jerusalem on the first Easter Sunday is "the best-attested resurrection appearance of Jesus." (RF3, p.378). However, the evidence that Craig provides to support this alleged appearance of the risen Jesus clearly FAILS to show that this event is an established historical fact.  

Furthermore, an honest and objective examination of the evidence from the four Gospels shows that the story of this alleged appearance of the risen Jesus (found in Luke 24:36-42) is probably a fictional story.

Therefore, if Craig is correct that this particular alleged appearance of the risen Jesus is "the best-attested resurrection appearance of Jesus", then Craig has failed to show that (HC2), the most important historical claim in his case for the resurrection of Jesus, is a historical fact.

END NOTES

1. See my blog posts about the historical unreliability of the Gospel of John.  Links to those various posts can be found in this post: The Unreliability of the 4th Gospel - Part 14: Summary and INDEX

2. See my blog posts focusing on historical problems in Chapter 18 and Chapter 19 of the Gospel of John:

The Unreliability of the 4th Gospel - Part 11

The Unreliability of the 4th Gospel - Part 12

3. See my blog post on historical problems in Chapter 20 of the Gospel of JohnThe Unreliability of the 4th Gospel - Part 13: Chapter 20

4. E.P. Sanders, The Historical Figure of Jesus (New York, NY: Penguin Books USA Inc., 1993), p.276.

5. E.P. Sanders, The Historical Figure of Jesus, p.278. 

6. Raymond Brown, The Virginal Conception and Bodily Resurrection of Jesus (New York, NY: Paulist Press,1973), p.105.

7. Raymond Brown, The Virginal Conception and Bodily Resurrection of Jesus, p.108-109. 

8. Reginald Fuller, "Resurrection of Christ" in The Oxford Companion to the Bible, edited by Bruce Metzger and Michael Coogan (New York, NY: Oxford University Press,1993), p.648. 

9. John Nolland, Word Biblical Commentary, Volume 35C (Dallas, TX: Word Books, 1993), p.1181.

Thursday, May 21, 2026

William Craig's Case for the Resurrection of Jesus - Part 24: Craig's Case is still Dead on Arrival

 WHERE WE ARE

In Part 23 of this series, I made a fresh start in analyzing and clarifying William Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus.  Instead of focusing on Craig's two-paragraph summary of his case on page 360 of the 3rd edition of his book Reasonable Faith (hereafter: RF3), which is a bit confused and unclear, I started with his clearer and shorter one-paragraph summary at the bottom of page 360 and the top of page 361.

The one-paragraph summary presents the sub-arguments supporting the key claim (B). But (B) is not the ultimate conclusion of Craig's case.  To determine the additional inferences and the ultimate conclusion, I had to draw on key claims made in Craig's two-paragraph summary. 

When I completed my fresh-start analysis of Craig's case, it turned out that his case consists of four inferences or sub-arguments. All four inferences are valid deductive inferences (three are modus ponens inferences). So, any problems with Craig's case, as I have analyzed and clarified it, will be problems with the truth of the premises.

THE LOGICAL STRUCTURE OF CRAIG'S CASE

Here is an argument diagram, showing the logical structure of Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus:

Each red arrow in the above argument diagram represents one of the four inferences in Craig's case.

OVERVIEW OF MY EVALUATION OF CRAIG'S CASE

The last two sub-arguments are unsound arguments, and the third sub-argument for premise (B) is dubious, giving us three good reasons to declare Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus Dead On Arrival.  I believe that the remaining sub-argument, which is the sub-argument for premise (C), is also an unsound or dubious argument, but I have not worked out my objections to that fourth sub-argument yet.

THE FINAL SUB-ARGUMENT IS UNSOUND

Here is the final sub-argument of Craig's case:

E. IF the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" furnishes the best explanation of the historical data relevant to Jesus' final fate, THEN it is more likely than not that the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is true.

3. The hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" furnishes the best explanation of the historical data relevant to Jesus' final fate. 

THEREFORE:

 4a. It is more likely than not that the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is true.

This argument is unsound because premise (E) is clearly false. Also, because the argument supporting premise (3) is unsound (which I will show later in this post), we have no good reason to believe that premise (3) is true, and since premise (3) is not obviously true nor a self-evident truth, we may reasonably conclude that premise (3) is dubious.  Because premise (E) is false, and premise (3) is dubious, we should reject this sub-argument for the conclusion (4a) as a bad argument. Thus, Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus fails and is Dead On Arrival, because the final sub-argument of his case fails.

Premise (E) is clearly false, because even if it were the case that the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" was the best explanation of the historical data relevant to Jesus' final fate, there would still be a significant chance that this hypothesis was NOT more likely than not to be true.

For example, consider the case where the relevant historical evidence shows the following hypotheses to have these probabilities of being true:

  • God raised Jesus from the dead: Probability = .30
  • The disciples of Jesus conspired to lie about Jesus' rising from the dead: Probability = .25
  • Somebody moved Jesus' body but didn't tell his disciples: Probability = .25
  • Jesus only appeared to die on the cross, but was actually still alive when taken down from the cross:  Probability = .20 
In this case, the "God raised Jesus from the dead" hypothesis would be more probable than any other hypothesis, based on the relevant historical evidence. That means that the "God raised Jesus from the dead" hypothesis would be more plausible than any other hypothesis, based on the relevant historical evidence.  

But, the probability of the "God raised Jesus from the dead" hypothesis would, in this case, be significantly less than .50.  Therefore, although the "God raised Jesus from the dead" hypothesis would be the best explanation of the historical data relevant to Jesus' final fate, this hypothesis would NOT be more likely than not to be true.

Furthermore, on the above scenario, the probability that one or the other of the natural hypotheses is true would be .70 (significantly greater than .50), while the probability that the supernatural hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is true would be only .30 (significantly less than .50).  Wouldn't it be more reasonable, in this case, to believe that one or the other of the natural hypotheses is true than to believe that the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is true?

Many other counterexample scenarios could be constructed, showing that there is a significant chance that it is both the case that the "God raised Jesus from the dead" hypothesis was the best explanation of the relevant historical data, and yet also the case that this hypothesis was NOT more likely than not to be true. Therefore, premise (E) is clearly false, and the final sub-argument in Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus is an unsound argument.

THE NEXT-TO-LAST SUB-ARGUMENT IS UNSOUND

The next-to-last sub-argument is the argument supporting premise (3) of the final sub-argument (which we just examined):

D. IF the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is the most plausible explanation of Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts, THEN the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" furnishes the best explanation of the historical data relevant to Jesus' final fate.

B. The hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is the most plausible explanation of Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts.

THEREFORE: 

3. The hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" furnishes the best explanation of the historical data relevant to Jesus' final fate.

This sub-argument is unsound because premise (D) is false. Also, because the sub-argument supporting premise (B) is dubious (as I will argue later in this post), and because premise (B) is neither obviously true nor is (B) a self-evident truth, we may reasonably conclude that premise (B) is itself dubious

Premise (D) is false, because it is not possible for Craig's three key historical claims/facts to fairly and accurately represent all of the actual historical evidence that is relevant to Jesus' final fate. 

Craig's selection of just three alleged historical facts is a clear example of confirmation bias. He focuses on just three historical claims that he believes will support his conclusion that "God raised Jesus from the dead" and he completely ignores several historical facts that cast significant doubt on this conclusion.

If the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" does provide the best explanation for Craig's three key historical claims, that is because Craig selected those claims precisely in order to obtain that result. 

As with the final sub-argument, one premise of this next-to-last sub-argument is false, namely premise (D), and the other premise, premise (B), is dubious. This sub-argument fails to give us a good reason to believe that premise (3) is true, and this gives us a second good reason to conclude that Craig's case for the resurrection of Jesus fails and is Dead On Arrival.

WHAT IS CONFIRMATION BIAS?

Google AI provides a good explanation of confirmation bias, so I will present a part of that information here:

The complete Google AI response on confirmation bias is included in an endnote below.[1] 

RELEVANT FACTS NOT INCLUDED BY CRAIG

Here are some other relevant facts that are not included in Craig's three key historical facts:

F1. People who were crucified by the Romans would usually hang on the cross for at least two or three days before dying.

F2. The authors of the Gospels believed that Jesus was removed from the cross after hanging on the cross for less than half of a day (i.e., for somewhere between 2 hours and 10 hours).

F3. Three friends of the Jewish historian Josephus were crucified, and hung on crosses for a few hours and then were removed from their crosses while they were still alive.  Two of the crucified people died hours or days later while under the care of a physician, but one survived and recovered.

F4. There are a number of different medical theories about how Roman crucifixion caused people to die; we don't actually know how Roman crucifixion caused death. 

F5. Victims of Roman crucifixion were usually burried in mass graves and were not permitted to have an honorable burial. 

F6. The authors of the Gospel of Mark and the Gospel of Matthew believed that the first appearances of the allegedly risen Jesus to his male disciples took place in Galilee about a week or more after Jesus was crucified. 

F7. The authors of the Gospel of Luke and the Gospel of John believed that the first appearances of the allegedly risen Jesus to his male disciples took place in Jerusalem about 48 hours after Jesus had been crucified and buried. 

F8. Jesus was a sexist, who worshipped and obeyed Jehovah, the sexist god of the Israelites.

F9. Jesus worshipped and obeyed Jehovah, the genocidal god of the Israelites, who (according to Moses) commanded the massive slaughter of men, women, children, and babies of the inhabitants of Palestine.

F10. Jesus worshipped and obeyed Jehovah, the god of the Israelites who (according to Moses) commanded the theft of land from the inhabitants of Palestine.

F11. Jesus worshipped and obeyed Jehovah, the god of the Israelites who (according to Moses) demanded that they practice slavery.

F12. Jesus believed and taught that the end of the world would take place sometime in his generation (i.e., within a few decades of his death).

F13. Jesus believed that mental illness and physical disabilities were often caused by demons. 

F14. Jesus believed that Adam and Eve were the first humans to exist, and that Adam and Eve lived a few thousand years before his time.

In my view, these are all historical facts that are relevant to Jesus' final fate. Yet not one of these historical facts is included in Craig's three historical claims.

The first seven historical facts above are obviously relevant to Jesus' final fate.  However, some people might question the relevance of the last seven historical facts in the above list.  

Those other facts are relevant to Jesus' final fate, because they provide evidence that Jesus was a morally and intellectually flawed human being, and thus NOT the Son of God, NOT God incarnate, and that the beliefs and values of Jesus did NOT come from clear communication between God (who is all-knowing and perfectly good, by definition) and Jesus. 

If Jesus was a morally and intellectually flawed human, and thus Jesus was NOT the Son of God and NOT God incarnate, then it would have been a great deception by God to have raised Jesus from the dead, because such a miracle, as Christian apologists themselves assert, would be an indication from God that Jesus was a true prophet, the Messiah, and the Son of God or God incarnate (assuming Jesus had claimed be the Son of God or God incarnate). God, if God exists, is all-knowing and perfectly good, so God would not ever perform a miracle that would cause a great deception.

Therefore, historical facts that provide evidence for the claim that Jesus was a morally and intellectually flawed human are historical facts that are relevant to Jesus' final fate.

Why is it that NONE of the fourteen historical facts above are included in Craig's three key facts? It seems fairly obvious that the reason why Craig does not consider these to be key historical facts is that these facts tend to run against the conclusion that he firmly believes and that he is trying to promote.  

In short, none of the above fourteen historical facts are included in Craig's three key facts because his selection of historical facts was influenced by confirmation bias.  

THE SUB-ARGUMENT FOR PREMISE (B) IS DUBIOUS

The third sub-argument is the argument supporting premise (B) of the next-to-last sub-argument (which we just examined):

1c. IF Craig's three key historical claims can be established as being historical facts and no plausible nautural explanation can account for them as well as the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead", THEN the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is the most plausible explanation of Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts.

C. Craig's three key historical claims can be established as being historical facts AND no plausible nautural explanation can account for Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts as well as the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead."

 THEREFORE:

B. The hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead" is the most plausible explanation of Craig's three key historical claims being historical facts.

This sub-argument for premise (B) is dubious because premise (1c) is dubious.  I also suspect that premise (C) is false or dubious, because I have significant doubts about both of the claims asserted by (C).  However, I have not worked out my objections to the two claims asserted by (C), so for now, I will reject the sub-argument for (B) based on the fact that premise (1c) is dubious.

Premise (1c) is dubious because it is based on a False Dilemma.[2] Craig is making the following assumption:

EITHER Craig's three key historical "facts" are best explained by a natural hypothesis OR Craig's three key "facts" are best explained by the supernatural hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead".

This assumption is clearly false, because it ignores the possibility that there is a supernatural hypothesis other than "God raised Jesus from the dead" that is the best explanation of Craig's three key historical "facts".

In his book RF3, Craig considers and evaluates only ONE supernatural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate: "God raised Jesus from the dead." But there are many other possible supernatural hypotheses, and Craig does not consider or evaluate any of them.

Just about any natural hypothesis can be revised and transformed into a supernatural hypothesis.  For example, consider this natural hypothesis about Jesus' final fate:

Somebody moved Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell his disciples about this. 

This natural hypothesis can be easily revised and transformed into a supernatural hypothesis:

God instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.

So, for just about any natural hypothesis, there is a corresponding supernatural hypothesis where God is the primary cause of the key event.[3] 

Furthermore, God is NOT the only possible supernatural being.  According to Christian theology, there are a variety of supernatural beings, such as spirits, angels, demons, and the devil himself.  Thus, any supernatural hypothesis in which God performs a key action can be revised and turned into a different supernatural hypothesis featuring some other supernatural being (or a natural being with supernatural powers):

  • An angel instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.
  • A demon instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.
  • A spirit instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.
  • The devil instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.
  • A finite deity (e.g., Zeus or Poseidon) instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.
  • A wizard or witch instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.
  • A powerful psychic instantly teleported Jesus' body to a different tomb but did not tell Jesus' disciples about this.
There are many different possible supernatural hypotheses concerning Jesus' final fate, but Craig considers and evaluates only ONE supernatural hypothesis. Premise (D) is dubious, because it is based on a False Dilemma.

I believe that supernatural hypotheses that feature human beings who possess and make use of supernatural powers are better explanations of the relevant historical evidence about Jesus' final fate than the hypothesis "God raised Jesus from the dead". If I am correct on this point, then not only is premise (D) dubious (because based on a False Dilemma), but it is false.  I will explore this idea further in a future post.  

END NOTES

1. Here is the complete Google AI response to the question "What is confirmation bias?":


2. Peter Kreeft's case for the resurrection of Jesus also fails because of a False Dilemma (also called the Either/Or Fallacy), as does Josh McDowell's case for the resurrection of Jesus. For details on this problem in the reasoning of Christian apologists, see Part 21 in this series of posts.

3. In Part 22 of this series of posts, I provide more examples where I transform a natural hypothesis into a supernatural hypothesis where God is the primary agent. See the section called: "GENERATING SUPERNATURAL HYPOTHESES THAT PARALLEL NATURAL HYPOTHESES".

William Craig's Case for the Resurrection of Jesus - Part 25: Craig's Three Key Historical Claims

 THE SUB-ARGUMENT FOR PREMISE (B) In Part 24 of this series, I argued that the sub-argument for the key premise (B) in Craig's case was...